Why Raila will win the elections...

www.facebook.com/amoxers -->

Why Raila will win the elections!

You may contest this if you like, but Prime Minister Raila Odinga will win the next elections with a landslide.

Here is why

Raila Odinga is a known political schemer. His biography, Raila Odinga, an enigma in Kenyan politics describes him as a man who is always at the right place at the right time and a man with a thick skin.

He has always made the right political choices contrary to what many might think. Look at 1998, he awed both friend and foe when his commandeered his party to merge with Kanu, something that was unthinkable but bore fruits for the Siaya born man.

In 2002, he again joined the winning side. He supported President Mwai Kibaki whose Rainbow party was reeling in mixed fortunes after crafting a winning coalition and Raila had no option but to obey the adage, “if you cannot beat them, join them”.

Methinks Deputy Prime Minister Uhuru Kenyatta is in a similar fix after seeing Raila craft a winning formula and now wishes he can join him, but thanks to his tribalistic supporters, he just can’t do that.

Raila realized he could not beat kibaki’s team in 2002 and that is probably why, minutes later after crafting a deal at the Serena hotel, he joined president Kibaki at the nearby Uhuru Park, where the man from Othaya was haranguing a mammoth crowd and made the shocking revelation that he had joined them.

That pronouncement marked the start of a political fairly tale that saw Raila and Kibaki sign an MOU on power sharing, a deal that went sour sooner than later.

The Coalition aftermath

Raila is said to have claimed he had been shortchanged by a cunning Kibaki and opted out.

It was a revamped Raila who led a massive successful campaign against the draft constitution and it was the same Raila who crafted the Orange Democratic Movement party that was riding high after winning a referendum against Kibaki and the government.

Raila proceeded to stage a concerted challenge to the incumbent president Mwai Kibaki in the 2007 vote.

An enigma in politics?

But wait! There is one thing with this Raila. There are hushed woes about his conduct if he clinches real power, and questions arise about his dictatorial tendencies, and how is fanatical supporters behave in an uncouth if not barbaric, manner.

Then there is this one thing that most people do not know. This man’s name has been involved in heartbreaking scandals which fleeced Kenyan taxpayers of their money in broad daylight.

How did he acquire the Kisumu molasses plant? How about Spectre international? And how did he mint millions from just politics?

Miguna Miguna in his tell all book, peeling back the mask, he describes Raila Odinga as a man who was painfully broke in the 90’s, but whose fortunes hit hundredfold when he was elected mp.

And why has he appointed his siblings, cousins, in laws, and relatives to high flying power dockets? Doesn’t that shout nepotism of the highest order? Just what might happen if he becomes president?

Just asking.

Miguna tells us of a Raila whose sole job was to hop from one club to the other after the bungled elections, which he believed he won and clung with that come what may, as Kenya burnt. He came out as a man who was greedy of power and who could not afford to lose at whatever costs.

Worrying point

This is a worrying point considering that the man is still seeking the tenancy of the miraculous house on the hill which his predecessor, his Excellency Mwai Kibaki, also vowed to rather die than accept defeat.

The question is, now that this is the only real chance for Raila to ascend to State house considering he is in his sunset years, will he ever accept defeat in case one comes his way soon after the water shed march 4 elections?

Or will he again lay claims of winning and let loose his archaic gang of hooligans to terrorize Kenyans again akin to the 2007 tragic drama? But before you lay a finger on Raila Odinga, look at his “worth competitors” as an ODM allied Mp was heard calling the Jubilee coalition.

They are disorganized, hapless, hopeless ad helpless and when they go head to head with Raila in terms of scandals and controversies, they outdo him! Making them even more worthless than their nemesis. Look at the Hague affair that haunts them day and night?

Now back to the winning business of the day.

Raila Amollo Odinga will win the next general elections whether you like or not. Look at his house, cord is so organized that it is sending cold shivers down the spines of Jubilee architects and strategists.

And the opinion polls? Wait, an old man told yours truly that, “Though ragingly insane, a mad man will always speak some truth”. My two pence…..All the opinions polls might have been doctored or something, but at least there must be some truth in that.

Raila remains the man to beat if elections can be held today, or tomorrow, or next week. Period!

Party hopping and Arsenal fans

Most Kenyans who could have opted for another coalition like the jubilee, which can only come second even in a race where it is the only contestant, have defected in their thousands to the winning house that is cord. No one wants to be associated with a loss, or with a losing team, save for the extremely fanatical and emotional Arsenal fans who have come to accept defeat as a way of life. No offence please.

Let’s look at it this way. After any elections have you ever asked a voter who he or she has voted for. And what was the answer? Do not answer that.

The reason why no one will expose his or her choice is that no one wants to be associated with failure.

What about after the results have been released? Everyone claims to have supported and voted for the winning lot, and who voted for the losers? Food for thought.

The Jubilee Alliance

The Jubilee alliance headed by former president Jommo Kenyatta’s scion, Uhuru Kenyatta and Eldoret North MP William Ruto, was seen as the only outfit that could have given the tale telling Cord outfit a run for their money, but who has time to listen to suspects trying to woo the voters when they have grave cases at the international criminal court while we can listen to good old “vitendawilis” (sayings)?

A massive population of voters have ran out of the Jubilee coalition, to join Cord and with that we go back to where we started, Raila and Kalonzo will have a very smooth ride all the way to the revered house on the hill. Enough said!